[Old] Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?
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7
Ṁ176
2031
53%
Other
14%
No one
11%
Li Qiang
8%
Li Xi
2%
Li Hongzhong
1.9%
Cai Qi
1.9%
Huang Kunming
1.9%
Ding Xuexiang
1.9%
Chen Min’er
1.9%
Xi Mingze
1.9%
Hu Chunhua

Resolves to the name of the next General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party following Xi Jinping.

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@jack I think we need a non-parimutual version of this - would you like to make it?

@JoshuaWilkes Good idea! Made it:

@JfP Do you mean by this that Xi will be the last general secretary?

@BTE Yes. I think so.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/10/10/china-president-xi-jinping-successor/

Before Xi, a pathway for future leaders had begun to form, where an heir-apparent took on a Standing Committee position and the vice presidency five years before they were appointed to the top job. Both Xi and his predecessor, Hu Jintao, ascended in this manner.

But that precedent, too, was broken when no officials young enough to serve three terms made the Politburo Standing Committee in 2017. Analysts tracking Chinese politics warn against expecting an anointed successor this year either, arguing that Xi’s extended rule could bypass entirely the generation that will dominate the 370-odd full and alternate members of the Central Committee (the body below the Politburo) over the next 10 years.

This article names some possible people to watch, who I'll add here.

@BTE This is Xi's daughter and only child and he protects her fiercely. She is clearly preparing for a career in politics IMO.

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