Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?

Question

Resolves to the name of the next General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party following Xi Jinping.

In the event of duplicates, the first will be chosen.

There is no time limit for this question, it runs until Xi Jinping ceases to be General Secretary.

If Xi Jinping does not have a successor as General Secretary, resolves to Nobody. That includes if the office is restructured and there is no longer a General Secretary position, even if there is a clear "leader of China". If the CCP ceases to exist, or ceases to exist as a party in China, also resolves Nobody.

If the office is just renamed, or the CCP is just renamed, then it still resolves to the successor.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Li Qiang (Premier, 2nd rank PSC member), followed by Ding Xuexiang (Vice Premier, 6th rank PSC member) and [Nobody] (Xi Jinping does not have a successor as General Secretary) are most likely. See the market for live updates (35 traders, as of Mar 30, 2026).