Bivalent Covid booster doses updated for Omicron were just authorized in the US.
Resolves to the percentage of the US population that has been vaccinated with a bivalent Covid booster dose at the end of 2022. (Percentage of the total US population, not just the eligible US population.) Resolution will be based on CDC (this page https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations_vacc-people-additional-dose-totalpop currently shows several different vaccination stats and will likely add data for bivalent doses in the near future). If data is not available from the CDC, then resolves based on another official source.
Companion question for October:
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| # | Name | Total profit |
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| 1 | Ṁ18 | |
| 2 | Ṁ10 | |
| 3 | Ṁ1 | |
| 4 | Ṁ1 | |
| 5 | Ṁ0 |
Data for the last week of 2022 is 47.1M People ≥ 5 years of age with an updated (bivalent) booster dose, from https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations_vacc-people-additional-dose-totalpop.
US population at end of 2022 is estimated at 334M by the Census Bureau: https://www.census.gov/popclock/.
Resolves to 14%.
First three weeks: 4.4 million (https://www.wsj.com/articles/some-who-rushed-to-covid-19-vaccine-hold-off-on-boosters-11663856710?st=k93pa51agtjswuy&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink), so a rate of 1.46 M per week. 14 weeks until the end of 2022, at the same rate would be about 25 M by the end of the year, that is 7.5%
Unless Covid increases substantially and people get scared again, I think the percentage is currently overestimated