This market resolves as YES if someone has at least 1k NO shares (deception allowed)
27
150
490
resolved Apr 22
Resolved
YES

Inspired by /8/this-market-resolves-as-yes-if-some

This market resolves YES if anyone (excluding bots) holds at least 1k NO shares in this market at close, NO otherwise.

Deception is explicitly allowed in this market. Think of this as a deception game, like e.g. Mafia - the whole point of the game is that you don't have to tell the truth. Any offers or deals made as part of this market should be considered in-game, and honoring or betraying them is fair game. (Meta discussions, such as discussions about the rules of this market, are still considered out-of-game.) (This is similar to other previous game theory experiments like https://manifold.markets/jack/will-nikitaskovoroda-onebox-in-this)

Do not use alts in this market - limit one account trading on this market per person. There's no enforcement mechanism for this other than shame. (This market would be boring if alts were allowed, don't ruin the fun.)

Get Ṁ200 play money

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bought Ṁ5,000 of YES

Closes in a few seconds!

predicted YES
bought Ṁ0 of NO

@firstuserhere i'd also hold if you buy upto 98%

@Dreamingpast i will lose 20 Mana. I want 80 mana from you

predicted YES
bought Ṁ140 of YES

@firstuserhere lol looks like @bingeworthy bought it down first. and i don't have much mana right now, so you will have to wait until i or someone else fills your limit order

bought Ṁ0 of YES

unlucky

bought Ṁ39 of NO

y'all welcome. I don't care about the loss, but if you want to return the favor bet in my market and buy "Mira stock".

bought Ṁ500 of YES

@Mira (≡^∇^≡)

bought Ṁ500 of YES

I am going to buy YES until NO shares are very cheap

bought Ṁ100 of YES

@firstuserhere 12 hours left for this market. By spending 50 Ṁ for holding 1k NO shares, you will in return earn double that. For no effort, you can match the daily bonus.

@firstuserhere From what I've seen, someone like @Mira might be interested in such games. Otherwise I can take this up but you have to increase the price to 100 Ṁ

bought Ṁ0 of NO

I've placed a limit order for 1000 NO shares at 99%. If someone fills me, I commit to holding at least 1K NO shares to close. (No bribe required because I'll make profit on the way up.)

predicted YES

@A Willing to put that limit order at a lower price as well if 99% is more risk than people are willing to take, but in that case a bribe will be required. Open to offers.

bought Ṁ5,000 of YES

@A I bought it up to 99%, triggering your limit orders. Since you don't need a bribe, I hope you will enjoy the profit this movement made you and hold the shares :)

I have a doubt - if i buy yes so much that market reached 98,99% then it should be cheap to buy NO, right?