It is up at resolution source now.

I'm resolving this market, because @itsTomekK gave the other moderators permission to resolve his markets when the resolution is obvious and uncontroversial.

How long does it usually take for the resolution source to update?

Why is XXXTentacion getting so much traffic?

@Athena These stats tend to be influenced by incomprehensible automated views. Maybe someone has a popular music app which shows XXX's wiki page automatically or something

@SaviorofPlant Makes sense.

He hasn’t been in the public eye since his estate released a new album and a movie of some sort, so I was shocked that he even cracked the top 50.

In case any Manifold employees are following this, I'm getting errors when I try to bet on this market. The stack trace is:

index.js:286 Error: Invariant failed in calculateCpmmMultiArbitrageBetYes

at calculate-cpmm-arbitrage.ts:107:11

at f (calculate-cpmm-arbitrage.ts:156:1)

at H (bet-panel.tsx:199:30)

at ak (react-dom.production.min.js:167:135)

at i (react-dom.production.min.js:290:335)

at oD (react-dom.production.min.js:280:383)

at react-dom.production.min.js:280:319

at oO (react-dom.production.min.js:280:319)

at oE (react-dom.production.min.js:271:86)

at ox (react-dom.production.min.js:268:399)

@TimothyJohnson5c16 It seems like it only happens when I try to bet YES on XXXTentacion.

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Might be able to fix it by buying No on XXXTentacion then Yes on the lowest probability answer, but would probably need to buy a lot of No.

I would try it if people will promise not to bet against me in the meantime....

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Okay, try now.

@Eliza Works now, thanks!

Does anyone know why XXXTentacion is so high on the list? I feel like there’s probably some interesting explanation for it

@dominic

1. People searching for porn with just "XXX" but just getting "XXXTentacion" due to safe search. This is supported by Pornhub being up there aswell.

2. As @thepurplebull mentioned, might be some page scraping algorithm related to 1., getting accidently redirected to the wikipedia page, but I'm not sure how that would happen.

By daily estimates, XXXTentacion’s lead has expanded to nearly 1,000,000 views with one day left.

XXXTentacion: 7,478,582

YouTube: 6,528,274

Pornhub: 6,387,747

@thepurplebull man that seems really fishy. nearly 15% in a single day? out of nearly 30 days of traffic?

@Pykess Expanded TO, not expanded BY

@benshindel Right. XXXTentacion has been in the lead for over a weak but the margin has increased steadily.

@Pykess The reason XXXTentacion is #1 to begin with is likely because of some page scraping algorithm being used or some other false positive. Probably not because its actually a popular page this month, but still considered valid for now.

@thepurplebull market gives 5% rate of it being rated as a false positive :D

@ScipioFabius It is the chance of false positive flagged within 3 days from now

@SavioMak Yes, that is more correct, thank you

Update thru 2/25 :)

(it should say top 10)

Context

Someone should report XXXTentacion for false positive! 😃

@itsTomekK Yeah, something like that! :) Re: the discussion below, I was just wondering if the market title would be even more accurate with "most viewed" instead of "most popular." Splitting hairs, perhaps?