What will be the cause of Putin's death?
Mini
31
776
2030
33%
Execution
22%
Assasination
16%
Stroke
15%
Heart disease
5%
Cancer
2%
Suicide
2%
Poison
1.9%
Age
1.1%
Death
1%
Shot

This market will resolve after Vladimir Putin dies to the general answer which describes the cause of his death, as agreed by the consensus of credible media reporting.

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@kolotom99 Stroke is still underrated. It is the number 2 cause (after heart disease) in general.

The only correct answer

@kolotom99 would the market resolve to this one unconditionally, regardless of splitting to other causes; or some other way? (Like unconditionally not resolving to this option any.)

@degtorad I would say that death is not the cause of death, but the result of the cause of death.

@degtorad of course it won't resolve to 'death'. However, if there is a dispute or few causes (ie. he died from a stroke during an accident, or suicide by poison), then it might split.

@kolotom99 can't believe this smh

@kolotom99 I believe that if Putin is killed by someone in a Grim Reaper costume, then this answer should be selected.

Will this answer resolve if it is suicide by poison, or similar?

@LivInTheLookingGlass I'm wondering how to resolve it, when it's an assassination by gunshot or suicide by poison, etc.... I guess we'll need to split resolution somehow, depends also how credible and detailed the public info will be

What if multiple answers fit very well, for example, assassination through poisoning

…now I’m matching other pairs and am kinda terrified of suicide by nuke

"Suicide by cancer" is surprisingly plausible given all the radioactive poisons they've done

@BenjaminCosman Given the organizational problems in the Russian army, even a bombing accident doesn't seem that far fetched

@BenjaminCosman And execution by old age sounds like a black mirror episode about transhumanism