When will Putin die?
Basic
21
Ṁ2.4k2034
1D
1W
1M
ALL
3%
Before 2025
9%
Before 2026
16%
Before 2027
23%
Before 2028
27%
Before 2029
28%
Before 2030
28%
Before 2031
28%
Before 2032
31%
Before 2033
35%
Before 2034
The market will resolve positively as soon as there are credible news of Vladimir Putin dying (from natural causes or otherwise).
The option "Before X" will resolve negatively if Russian state TV broadcasts Putin's New Year address for the year X and there is no significant controversy regarding it being being fake (AI-generated, double etc.) If in a given year Putin doesn't deliver the New Year address or it is difficult to ascertain its authenticity, the option will resolve negatively as soon as Putin makes a public appearance in the new year.
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