2023 Matt Yglesias' Predictions: Pedro Sánchez out as Prime Minister of Spain?
2023 Matt Yglesias' PredictionsNew Year's Resolutions 2024
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resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO

Matthew Yglesias is a liberal American blogger and journalist who writes about economics and politics. He publishes the Substack newsletter Slow Boring.

Recently he made 10 predictions on foreign elections, published on
https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-predictions-for-2023:



This market is framed exactly as asked by Matt.

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📢Resolved to NO

predicted YES

I am not resolving it before 2023 ends, Pedro can still be out.

predicted NO

Pedro Sánchez got

reelected today:

https://english.elpais.com/international/2023-11-16/spains-pedro-sanchez-confirmed-as-new-pm-despite-controversy-over-catalan-amnesty.html

https://manifold.markets/FUTURISTA/sera-feijoo-investido-presidente-co

Wow, how I didn't know about this market?! Was plain asymmetrical

predicted YES

@MP Easy to say that now!

@travis easy then. Yhe fellow had to call early elections and had a 90%+ probability.

predicted YES

@MP Pedro had to call early elections? He was 89% to lose here.

@travis oh sure, I misread the title

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