Matthew Yglesias is a liberal American blogger and journalist who writes about economics and politics. He publishes the Substack newsletter Slow Boring.
Recently he made 10 predictions on foreign elections, published on
https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-predictions-for-2023:
This market is framed exactly as asked by Matt.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ89 | |
| 2 | Ṁ52 | |
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| 5 | Ṁ3 |
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Can resolve to NO, Nerudová conceded defeat, second round will be held between Pavel and Babiš https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/former-nato-general-ex-prime-minister-seen-leading-czech-presidential-election-2023-01-13/
@MartinModrak the year is not over, she could still be elected in 2023, in some snap elections
@kolotom99 Agree that's a possible interpretation. One could however also argue that Matthew had specific "races" and "schedule" in mind... No strong opinion, the market was too far from any reasonable expectations anyway...
@MartinModrak True, I also did not think about it before your comment. Let's leave it up for trading, every NO holder still can sell their shares :)