
Will SPD be officially part of the next Czech government?
Will SPD be officially part of the next Czech government?
9
170Ṁ716Dec 31
41%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Next standard parliamentary elections are in ~October 2025.
Will resolve once the next prime minister is named and passes a confidence vote from the Chamber of Deputies of the Parliament of the Czech Republic. Resolves YES if SPD (Freedom and Direct Democracy) is part of government, i.e. has at least one minister in the cabinet.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Who will be the next prime minister of Czech Republic
Will Andrej Babiš be the next prime minister of Czech Republic?
83% chance
Will Přísaha or Motoristé sobě gain seats in the next Czech parliament?
55% chance
Will Petr Fiala serve a full term as prime minister of Czechia?
89% chance
Czech republic parliamentary elections winner.
Will Sweden Democrats back or be in government after next election?
Who will be the winner of the next presidential elections in Slovakia?