Is average probability (upon resolution) of manifold.markets questions less than 50% for all questions settled in 2024
5
120Ṁ174Jan 1
75%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2026
52% chance
What percentage of current Manifold.Markets users asking questions that resolve in 2030 will close out their own post?
Will Manifold stop having obviously wrong probabilities on markets with >=50 traders by the end of 2024?
7% chance
Which manifold.markets user will have the most questions asked about them by EOY 2024?
Will this market resolve below 50% probability
49% chance
One year from now, will the percentage that this question resolves YES (as shown by Manifold) be above 50%?
48% chance
This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030
49% chance