What does Manifold think Democrats would do if they won the trifecta in 2024?
10
120Ṁ172
resolved Aug 30
Resolved
29%
Supreme Court packing (at least 2 justices impeached or at least 1 additional justice added)
Resolved
29%
at least twice as many asylum-seekers admitted in 2025 as in 2024
Resolved
29%
state laws restricting abortion will be overridden to a degree that NARAL celebrates publicly
Resolved
14%
Propose a bill granting Puerto Rico statehood which reaches at least 25% support
Resolved
NO
Senate "nuclear option": cloture by simple majority (outside of nominations)
Resolved
NO
at least 1,000,000 guns confiscated by the Federal government

By "the trifecta", I mean the Presidency and (caucus) majorities in the House and Senate.

I supplied some examples for those who fear Democratic tyranny, but please feel encouraged to add any policies you think are likely.

When the question closes, I will create a poll with all the options (down to whatever limit there is on polls) from this question and give it another week to run, then resolve based on the results of the poll to the greatest precision available. (E.g., if I can make each option pay off according to its poll percentage, I will.)

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