This market relates to a prediction made by Colin Wright on X, challenged by Matthew Yglesias, regarding Democratic governance strategies.
This market resolves to YES if:
1. The Democratic Party wins a "trifecta" in the 2028 U.S. General Elections (winning the Presidency and holding majorities in both the House of Representatives and the Senate at the start of the 121st Congress in 2029).
2. AND, before January 20, 2033, legislation is enacted that increases the statutory number of seats on the Supreme Court of the United States above nine.
Resolution Details:
*NO:** If Democrats win a trifecta in 2028 but the statutory size of the Supreme Court remains at nine (or fewer) seats through the end of that presidential term.
*N/A (Cancel):** If the Democratic Party does not win a trifecta in the 2028 elections.
Context:
In January 2026, Colin Wright tweeted: "If Democrats win big in 2028... They’ll pack the court." Matthew Yglesias replied: "Do you want to bet?" This market tracks the outcome of that specific conditional prediction.
