What would Democrats would do if they won the trifecta in 2024?
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 2024 US Presidential Election๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics๏ธ PoliticsTrumpDemocratic Party
7
resolved Aug 27
state laws restricting abortion will be overridden to a degree that NARAL celebrates publicly
Propose a bill granting Puerto Rico statehood which reaches at least 25% support
Supreme Court packing (at least 2 justices impeached or at least 1 additional justice added)
Senate "nuclear option": cloture by simple majority (outside of nominations)
at least twice as many asylum-seekers admitted in 2025 as in 2024
at least 1,000,000 guns confiscated by the Federal government

Obviously Democrats are unlikely to win the trifecta (though less unlikely than when I wrote that); the idea is to explore what people think the Democrats' actual goals, intentions, and aspirations are.

This is the belated followup poll to this market: https://manifold.markets/ijk1/what-does-manifold-think-democrats

and will be used to resolve it.

This related market may also be relevant: https://manifold.markets/BenjaminDarnell/what-will-democrats-do-if-they-win

The trifecta itself is covered by this market: https://manifold.markets/BoltonBailey/democratic-party-trifecta-in-2024

Get แน€1,000 play money
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Probably not much

see below

Did I think about how this poll would work and leave a "none of the above" option or let you pick multiple options or something? No I did not.

That's what you get for playing in my first market

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