Will the SDG 2.1 "zero hunger" be achieved by the end of 2035?
Will the SDG 2.1 "zero hunger" be achieved by the end of 2035?
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90Ṁ129Dec 31
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SDG 2.1 is the aim to decrease the global prevalence of malnurishment under 2.5 %. Currently the global malnurishment is about 9.9 % (2020) and is estimated by the OCED-FAO to decrese to 7.7 % by 2030 if current trends continue. The original goal of 2030 can only be achieved by approximetly dubbling the expected growth in productivity of the agricultural sector. Without policies and significant finacial support the required productivity growth is a 24 % increas in crop yield and 31 % growth in animal productivity.
Market resolves YES if any reputable source rapports that SDG 2.1 has been achieved by the end of 2035. NO if that doesn't happen.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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