Will any of {Jason Tatum, Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, Donovan Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander} win the NBA MVP 2024?

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resolved May 9

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Resolves YES if any player of the group {Jason Tatum, Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, Donovan Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander} wins the regular season MVP of the NBA 2024. Resolves NO otherwise.

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bought Ṁ1,000 NO

@howtodowtle resolves NO. jokic won MVP

predicted NO

How would you break down the individual players' chances? Compared to the Jokic/Giannis/Luka group, it seems like this group should be super low. But then when I think about Tatum alone, it seems like he alone should be "worth" a two-digit percentage.

predicted NO

@howtodowtle

Jokic 16%, luka 14%, giannis 12%, embiid 10%, Tatum 8%, Durant 6%, Curry 6%, Booker 4%, SGA 3%, Dame 3%, Mitchell 2%, Davis 2%, LeBron 2%, Edwards 2%, Butler 2%, Field 8% (Trae, Lavine, Fox, Wemby, Brunson, Markannen, Bridges, Banchero, etc)

these are just vibes and not the result of any statistical rigor or model

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