🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Round of 32)
64
494
αΉ€1k
resolved May 19
Resolved
YES
Lee Kuan Yew (NO) v. John Von Neumann (YES)
Resolved
NO
Charles Darwin (NO) v. Immanuel Kant (YES)
Resolved
YES
Claude Shannon (NO) v. Leonardo Da Vinci (YES)
Resolved
YES
Francis Bacon (NO) v. Confucius (YES)
Resolved
NO
Norman Borlaug (NO) v. Deng Xiaoping (YES)
Resolved
NO
Richard Feynman (NO) v. Nikola Tesla (YES)
Resolved
NO
Alan Turing (NO) v. Socrates (YES)
Resolved
NO
Isaac Newton (NO) v. Carl Friedrich Gauss (YES)
Resolved
NO
Nelson Mandela (NO) v. William Shakespeare (YES)
Resolved
YES
Julius Caesar (NO) v. Mohandas K. Gandhi (YES)
Resolved
YES
Aristotle (NO) v. Albert Einstein (YES)
Resolved
YES
Plato (NO) v. Abraham Lincoln (YES)
Resolved
YES
Beethoven (NO) v. Jesus (YES)
Resolved
YES
Genghis Khan (NO) v. Leonhard Euler (YES)
Resolved
YES
Buddha (NO) v. Adam Smith (YES)
Resolved
YES
Winston Churchill (NO) v. Napoleon Bonaparte (YES)

This market is for the Round of 32 of Manifold's G.O.A.T. tournament, to determine who advances to the Sweet 16. The purpose of this series of markets is to determine who Manifold thinks is the "Greatest of All Time" (G.O.A.T.).

Resolution Criteria:

Each market will be determined by the greater number of individual holders of either YES or NO at market close. For example, if the market is Winston Churchill (NO) v Pierre-Simon Laplace (YES), Winston Churchill will win if there are 8 individual NO holders, and 7 individual YES holders at the time of market close.

Bot trades do not count towards determining winners.

I will settle any ties, and am happy to offer my opinion on any matchups before the market closes. I am also willing to consider any arguments for/against a contestant before making my decision.

Most markets will run from Sunday-Saturday. The Final Four and Championship will run over Summer Camp and Manifest.


The scheduled close date for each market of the contest is at 11:59PM CST on the below dates:

Round of 32 - May 18th

Sweet 16 - May 25th

Elite 8 - June 1st

Final Four - June 7th
Championship - June 9th


You can also bet on who will be the overall winner of the G.O.A.T. tournament:
/houstonEuler/who-will-win-the-manifold-goat-tour


Nominations and prior rounds:

/houstonEuler/who-is-manifolds-goat-round-of-64-p
/houstonEuler/which-16-philosophy-and-religion-ca
/houstonEuler/which-16-business-and-culture-candi
/houstonEuler/which-16-politics-and-governancecan
/houstonEuler/which-16-science-and-technology-can

Get αΉ€600 play money

πŸ… Top traders

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Napoleon sold Louisiana to fund stupid wars that ultimately destroyed France’s armies and earned him death in jail. Winston Churchill won air supremacy over the German military industrial complex from his bath tub drinking scotch.

opened a αΉ€30 Buddha (NO) v. Adam ... NO at 80% order

so many shenanigans going on around here 🧐 😈

Damn I wish I saw this before ; I would had nominated Alexander Shulgin.

bought αΉ€10 Francis Bacon (NO) v... YES

Get in quick before the Keynesian beauty contest collapse