NOTE: I've updated the rules of this contest and the resolution criteria, from when it was just a placeholder.
NOTE-2: Bot trades do not count towards vote totals.
The purpose of this series of markets is to determine who Manifold thinks is the "Greatest of All Time" (G.O.A.T.).
A few rules:
1. I'm limiting this to only people whose existence is documented in historical records, so no Mitochondrial Eve.
2. I'll keep the seeds hidden, because I think that might bias peoples' votes.
Resolution Criteria:
Each market will be determined by the greater number of individual holders of either YES or NO. For example, if the market is Winston Churchill (NO) v Pierre-Simon Laplace (YES), Winston Churchill will win if there are 8 individual NO holders, and 7 individual YES holders at the time of market close.
I will settle any ties, and am happy to offer my opinion on any matchups before the market closes. I am also willing to consider any arguments for/against a contestant before making my decision.
Most markets will run from Sunday-Satruday. The Final Four and Championship will run over SummerCamp and Manifest.
The scheduled close date for each market (and poll) of the contest is below:
Round of 64 - May 11th
Round of 32 - May 18th
Sweet 16 - May 25th
Elite 8 - June 1st
Final Four - June 7th
Championship - June 9th
Related markets:
/houstonEuler/who-will-win-the-manifold-goat-tour
Nominations here:
/houstonEuler/which-16-philosophy-and-religion-ca
/houstonEuler/which-16-business-and-culture-candi
/houstonEuler/which-16-politics-and-governancecan
/houstonEuler/which-16-science-and-technology-can
1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน1,173 | |
| 2 | แน178 | |
| 3 | แน164 | |
| 4 | แน161 | |
| 5 | แน100 |
@traders The Round of 32 is now available for trading, and will close on May 18th:
/houstonEuler/-who-is-manifolds-goat-round-of-32
Also, don't forget to place your bets on the overall winner:
/houstonEuler/who-will-win-the-manifold-goat-tour
@Stralor so? tons of humans are ancestors to literally everyone, and yet we don't even remember their names
@KongoLandwalker
I understand how it seems odd, but I feel like business and culture are intertwined, just like philosophy and religion, which is why I thought categorizing the groups that way would result in better nominations.
I also thought making business and economics its own category would have lowered the competitiveness of the first round in the G.O.A.T. tournament.