🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Round of 64)
56
1.2kṀ17k
resolved May 12
Resolved
NO
John von Neumann (NO) v Mozi (YES)
Resolved
YES
John Stuart Mill (NO) v Lee Kuan Yew (YES)
Resolved
NO
Immanuel Kant (NO) v Mark Zuckerberg (YES)
Resolved
NO
Charles Darwin (NO) v Fyodor Dostoevsky (YES)
Resolved
NO
Socrates (NO) v Benjamin Franklin (YES)
Resolved
YES
Bill Gates (NO) v Claude Shannon (YES)
Resolved
NO
Confucius (NO) v Mozart (YES)
Resolved
YES
Johann Sebastian Bach (NO) v Francis Bacon (YES)
Resolved
YES
J.R.R. Tolkien (NO) v Norman Borlaug (YES)
Resolved
YES
Taylor Swift (NO) v Nikola Tesla (YES)
Resolved
YES
Picasso (NO) v Richard Feynman (YES)
Resolved
NO
Albert Einstein (NO) v Augustus Caesar (YES)
Resolved
NO
Alan Turing (NO) v Steve Jobs (YES)
Resolved
NO
Carl Friedrich Gauss (NO) v John Rawls (YES)
Resolved
NO
Isaac Newton (NO) v John D. Rockefeller (YES)
Resolved
NO
William Shakespeare (NO) v Queen Elizabeth I of England (YES)
Resolved
NO
Nelson Mandela (NO) v Karl Marx (YES)
Resolved
NO
Mohandas K. Gandhi (NO) v David Hume (YES)
Resolved
NO
Julius Caesar (NO) v John Locke (YES)
Resolved
YES
George Washington (NO) v Leonardo Da Vinci (YES)

NOTE: I've updated the rules of this contest and the resolution criteria, from when it was just a placeholder.

NOTE-2: Bot trades do not count towards vote totals.


The purpose of this series of markets is to determine who Manifold thinks is the "Greatest of All Time" (G.O.A.T.).

A few rules:
1. I'm limiting this to only people whose existence is documented in historical records, so no Mitochondrial Eve.
2. I'll keep the seeds hidden, because I think that might bias peoples' votes.

Resolution Criteria:

Each market will be determined by the greater number of individual holders of either YES or NO. For example, if the market is Winston Churchill (NO) v Pierre-Simon Laplace (YES), Winston Churchill will win if there are 8 individual NO holders, and 7 individual YES holders at the time of market close.

I will settle any ties, and am happy to offer my opinion on any matchups before the market closes. I am also willing to consider any arguments for/against a contestant before making my decision.

Most markets will run from Sunday-Satruday. The Final Four and Championship will run over SummerCamp and Manifest.


The scheduled close date for each market (and poll) of the contest is below:
Round of 64 - May 11th

Round of 32 - May 18th

Sweet 16 - May 25th

Elite 8 - June 1st

Final Four - June 7th
Championship - June 9th

Related markets:
/houstonEuler/who-will-win-the-manifold-goat-tour

Nominations here:
/houstonEuler/which-16-philosophy-and-religion-ca
/houstonEuler/which-16-business-and-culture-candi
/houstonEuler/which-16-politics-and-governancecan
/houstonEuler/which-16-science-and-technology-can

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