Will someone commit terrorism against an AI lab by the end of 2025 for AI-safety related reasons?
39
1kṀ2181
Dec 31
14%
chance

Resolves to yes if someone commits a targeted terrorist attack towards an organization or event or a person that primarily does AI research, or if they commit an attack against an entity related to AI research and express motivations related to AI risk.

Edit:
If there is a terrorist attack under the banner of "AI is stealing our jobs" or "AI is racist" or "AI is ungodly" but not "AI is an existential risk" does this resolve yes?

Answer: Yes

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