
Will Magnus Carlsen repeat as the chess.com Champions Chess Tour winner in 2024?
Will Magnus Carlsen repeat as the chess.com Champions Chess Tour winner in 2024?
18
1kṀ12kresolved Dec 21
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market Description
Will be determined based on the official leaderboard at chess.com after the completion of the Tour Finals in Oslo from December 17-21, 2024
Resolution Details
Resolves to YES if Magnus wins the 2024 Champions Chess Tour
Market resolves to N/A if the tour is cancelled or Magnus does not compete in the event
Results will be based on the official chess.com website and announcements
https://www.chess.com/events/2024-champions-chess-tour-finals-knockout-stage
Current standings:
https://www.chess.com/events/2024-champions-chess-tour/results
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ529 | |
2 | Ṁ240 | |
3 | Ṁ217 | |
4 | Ṁ135 | |
5 | Ṁ123 |
Sort by:
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Magnus Carlsen still be the best chess player in 2026?
95% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen stay the top-rated chess player through 2025?
96% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen become the FIDE World Chess Champion again by 2031?
22% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen compete in a Candidate's tournament before 2029?
15% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen compete for the FIDE Classical World Chess Championship before 2033?
8% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen, the world chess #1 since 2011, be ranked #1 in 2029.1.1?
24% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2026?
85% chance
Will anyone top Magnus Carlsen's peak ELO of 2882 by the end of 2026?
8% chance