43
327
920
resolved Apr 3
Resolved
N/A

Curious

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Thank you all for participating buh there is no way this is going to resolve yes or no .

Y'all will receive your M spent back😊

@fredowusu It's awesome to hear that you've just joined and I hope that you continue to create markets and make predictions - but this market is entirely meaningless until you at the very least provide some clarification on what you mean by 'the world coming to an end' and especially 'soon'.

Not to mention that markets about the end of the world tend to be naturally inherently flawed as there's generally no way for the market to ever resolve YES (if the world has ended, who's resolving the market) - and hence there's rarely any incentive to bet YES because if everyone's rational there's no way you could ever profit from buying YES.


Finally, if your goal was instead to simply gauge opinions (as opposed to creating a prediction market) - then I would recommend you resolve this market N/A. Everyone gets their mana back, yourself included, and then it's sort of like the market never existed in the first place. (Also note that I'm not saying this because I want my mana back or anything - I have not bet in this market - I'm just trying to help you out given that you're new).

@Nat Alternatively, we could use the mechanism where a moderator can "fix" the criteria and "rescue" the question. This market now seems to meet all the requirements, with 40 traders and no response from the creator for several days.

@chrisjbillington Would you be interested in trying this? It seems like this market is in need of clear criteria that match the spirit of the question, so traders know exactly what they are betting on.

@Eliza (Putting aside the question of whether this is actually a ranked and/or subsidized question...)

bought Ṁ10 YES

@fredowusu can you confirm this resolves No if the world has not ended by 22 April? And add that to the description?

@Eliza nope

@fredowusu Okay...but if you don't add actual criteria this is highly likely to be marked both unsubsidized and unranked

Who resolves this market if YES?

bought Ṁ100 YES

@Tamashi Which one?

@GazDownright the real one

@Tamashi Touché

bought Ṁ100 NO

wth -
Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ11/Ṁ16 YES at 22% (cancelled)

resolves no if the world doesn't end by April 22?

@shankypanky why April 22

@fredowusu that's the close date of this market?

this should probably be a poll instead of a market if you're checking people's opinions. :) you'd get your mana back if you NA and then you could make the poll to see what people think. 🌏

bought Ṁ100 YES

@shankypanky Actually today is my first day on this site 💔😂

@fredowusu oh welcome! 🙌

I think this would be a better poll! there's no real way to resolve this - "soon" is subjective and asking what people think isn't really resolvable in this format. but if you resolve NA everyone gets their Mana back and then in the creation process you can select poll instead. :)

@shankypanky I guess you really need your Mana back

@fredowusu what? I didn't even bet here lol

Lots of people ask if NA means they lose their Mana so I'm just trying to let you know how it goes 🤷