How many Republican votes in the House will the Respect for Marriage act get?

5

100Ṁ115

resolved Jul 19

Resolved as

22%

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Resolves via PROB to # of republican YEA votes for the Repsect for Marriage Act / 211 (number of republican congressmen) * 100%

Context: https://thehill.com/changing-america/respect/equality/3564442-house-to-vote-on-respect-for-marriage-act-in-response-to-clarence-thomas-opinion/

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If the Supreme Court revisits Obergefell by 2029, who will vote against a constitutional right to same-sex marriage?

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47 Republicans ended up voting for it (along with every Democrat) https://www.insider.com/47-republicans-vote-in-favor-bill-protecting-same-sex-marriage-2022-7

This is exactly how numeric markets work now, you could have used one of those (just FYI :))

predictedNO

I think the percentage of Republican votes is a more meaningful number at a glance though

predictedNO

@jack agreed

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I would be surprised if it is higher than 10%

predictedNO

Apparently I was surprised

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If the Supreme Court revisits Obergefell by 2029, who will vote against a constitutional right to same-sex marriage?

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If the Supreme Court revisits Obergefell by 2029, who will vote against a constitutional right to same-sex marriage?

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