What will be the biggest crisis faced by Singapore in 2024?
Basic
11
Ṁ1593
resolved Jan 7
Resolved
YES
Public Infrastructure Breakdown
Resolved
NO
Financial Crisis
Resolved
NO
Political Scandal / Crisis
Resolved
NO
Cybersecurity / Communication Breakdown
Resolved
NO
Pandemic
Resolved
NO
Natural Disaster
Resolved
NO
Foreign invasion / Great Power Struggle
Resolved
NO
Racial Unrest / Civil War
Resolved
NO
Severe Recession / Great Depression
Resolved
NO
Energy Shortage
Resolved
NO
Food/Water Shortage
Resolved
NO
Pollution
Resolved
NO
Terrorism
Resolved
NO
Industrial Accident
Resolved
NO
Supply Chain Disruption
Resolved
NO
No Crisis
Resolved
NO
Medical Resource Shortage
Resolved
NO
Labour Shortage
Resolved
NO
Financial Crime

Some examples of major crisis:

  • Separation from Malaysia

  • Unemployment caused by British withdrawal

  • Asian Financial Crisis

  • SARS

  • Great Financial Crisis

  • Covid-19 Pandemic

This question is subjective and will likely rely on several heuristics to resolve:

  • Did the economy / stock market react negatively in a significant way?

  • Number of lives lost

  • Financial cost

  • Did the government use significant amount of resource to manage the crisis? For example, draw on reserve.

  • Has the event stayed in media headline for several weeks / months?

  • Is there a Wikipedia article about the event?

I will propose candidate resolution after the deadline and there will at least be a one-week deliberation period.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

I propose resolving this to infrastructure breakdown due to the one-week breakdown of MRT.

bought Ṁ5 NO

Am I right in concluding that only one of these can resolve yes? So they are actually dependent?

Multiple answers can be chosen.

So the crises need to pass some threshold to resolve yes? Under what circumstances would “no crisis” resolve yes along with some others?

If there was no crisis, then only no crisis will the answer.

“””

This question is subjective and will likely rely on several heuristics to resolve:

  • Did the economy / stock market react negatively in a significant way?

  • Number of lives lost

  • Financial cost

  • Did the government use significant amount of resource to manage the crisis? For example, draw on reserve.

  • Has the event stayed in media headline for several weeks / months?

  • Is there a Wikipedia article about the event?

“””

bought Ṁ10 YES

Does the currently ongoing oil spill count as an industrial accident?

Yep. Or do you think I should add a new category?

No, seems right to me

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules