Will Manifold increase the loan rate above 4% at any time in 2023?
35
111
650
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if devs set the daily loan rate to any number larger than 4% any time before 2023 ends (even if they later decrease it).

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predicted NO

Un-resolving and re-resolving because not all traders got paid out correctly, due to a bet that was placed during market resolution.

I don't think this happened, so I'm planning to resolve to NO. Any objections?

predicted NO

@firstuserhere I'm in favor of you resolving NO because it frees up my mana. I don't know what the Dec 30 end date was about, though.

@MichaelWheatley it's reset to new year

Lend me a ciggy?

What are the implied economics of these loan rates? Is there an article explaining what they intend to achieve in detail? I understand the mechanics and that they are intended to encourage long term bets, but is there a more detailed description?

bought Ṁ10 of NO

@firstuserhere They should have regular meetings like the FED and announce some rules for targets. 😂

How does this resolve if the loan rate changes to something more complicated, such as varying between users?

bought Ṁ10 of NO

@Joshua if for any user who is not employed by Manifold, the loan rate is above 4%, that'll resolve this market positively (to YES)

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