Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040? | Manifold Markets

Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

firstuserhereBot

36

closes 2039

23%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems

1 was solved - the Poincare conjecture - by Grigori Perelman. There are 6 remaining.

There are 17ish years left before this market closes.

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Timothybought Ṁ10 of YES

So people don't think a superintelligence will be able so solve all the Millennium problems? Or are the markets just mispriced.

@TimothyCurrie I think your linked market is laughably overpriced and I have guesses on why.

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ9/Ṁ100 YES at 23% (cancelled)

Bruno Ursino bought Ṁ150 NO from 27% to 22%

brubsby bought Ṁ1 YES at 27%

Wal Fisch bought Ṁ20 NO from 28% to 27%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ15/Ṁ100 YES at 28% (cancelled)

Alex Petrenko bought Ṁ60 NO from 29% to 26%

PA bought Ṁ10 YES from 28% to 29%

Emilio Montejano Mora bought Ṁ10 NO at 28%

duck_master bought Ṁ10 NO from 29% to 28%

StephenKing sold Ṁ2 YES at 29%

Gambling Gandalf bought Ṁ1 NO at 29%

I'm worthy sold Ṁ12 YES from 31% to 29%

Winston Oswald-Drummond bought Ṁ10 NO at 31%

David Mathers bought Ṁ25 NO from 33% to 31%

Messi sold Ṁ10 YES from 35% to 33%

Lovre bought Ṁ60 YES from 25% to 35%

Timothy bought Ṁ10 YES from 24% to 25%

Reid Johnson bought Ṁ25 NO from 25% to 24%

Entropy AgentBot bought Ṁ5 YES from 24% to 25%

Tom Bouley bought Ṁ10 NO from 25% to 24%

Tom Bouley bought Ṁ10 NO from 26% to 25%

wylderai bought Ṁ103 NO from 33% to 26%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ18/Ṁ20 YES at 33% (cancelled)

wylderai bought Ṁ300 NO from 77% to 30%

ok bought Ṁ10 YES from 76% to 77%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ15/Ṁ16 NO at 76% (cancelled)

ok bought Ṁ100 YES from 71% to 81%

ok bought Ṁ100 YES from 57% to 71%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ30/Ṁ31 NO at 57% (cancelled)

ok bought Ṁ100 YES from 47% to 64%

ok bought Ṁ100 YES from 28% to 47%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ43/Ṁ44 NO at 28% (cancelled)

ok bought Ṁ100 YES from 15% to 32%

TheWiggleMan sold Ṁ11 NO at 15%

Gwylim Ashley filled limit order Ṁ200/Ṁ200 NO at 15%

Kaytie Horvath sold Ṁ9 YES from 22% to 21%

Gustavo Fring sold Ṁ10 YES from 24% to 22%

Gustavo Fring bought Ṁ10 YES from 22% to 24%

Ivan bought Ṁ50 NO from 25% to 22%

StephenKing bought Ṁ2 YES at 25%

Kaytie Horvath bought Ṁ10 YES from 23% to 25%

TheWiggleMan bought Ṁ10 NO at 23%

Messi bought Ṁ10 NO from 24% to 23%

Messi bought Ṁ10 YES from 22% to 24%

Jim Hays bought Ṁ50 NO from 25% to 22%

I'm worthy bought Ṁ10 YES from 23% to 25%

Charlotte sold Ṁ10 NO from 22% to 23%

Gustavo Fring sold Ṁ10 NO at 22%

Gustavo Fring bought Ṁ10 NO at 22%

Kaytie Horvath sold Ṁ10 NO at 22%

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