MANIFOLD
Will there be 500 fatalities during Israel–Hezbollah confrontations by 13 April 2024?
33
Ṁ650Ṁ6k
resolved Apr 24
Resolved
NO

Will resolve according to ACLED data on the number of fatalities during confrontations between Hezbollah and the military forces of Israel and/or Israeli civilians, starting from 7 October 2023 and ending 13 April 2024 (inclusive).

From here:

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ279
2Ṁ116
3Ṁ47
4Ṁ40
5Ṁ39
Sort by:

Resolves NO, there were 333 fatalities according to the ACLED data.

@finn 438 fatalities if you include incidents where Hezbollah, Israeli armed forces, or Israeli civilians were 'associated actors'

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy