Will total solar capacity exceed 6TW at the end of 2030?
Will total solar capacity exceed 6TW at the end of 2030?
8
150Ṁ364
2030
92%
chance

Jenny Chase (solar analyst at Bloomberg NEF) predicts 6TW of cumulated capacity at the end of 2030.

End of 2022 capacity was estimated at 1.2TW and BNEF predicts 2023 additions to exceed 400GW.

Is 6TW a low ball estimate?

Resolution criteria will be based on cumulated PV solar capacity for electricity generation as published by any of the following source (in decreasing priority order):

  • IEA

  • Bloomberg NEF

  • An other source

The market closes on Dec 31 2030 but I may extend the closing dates as we get closer since actual stats may be available much later.

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Energy
Electric Grid
Solar
Photovoltaic
Renewable Energy
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