1GW of solar power in Earth orbit by EOY 2031?
23
1káč24552031
45%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Total solar power available, across all satellites from all operators. Nameplate capacity, not actual usage.
Based on industry reports and my best efforts at research; suggestions for reliable sources are welcome, hopefully there will be a clean resolution source we can track well before resolution time. Presumably some classified satellites will be hard to get data on; best guesses will be used if they matter.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@ProjectVictory gpt-5-pro reckons 40% chance and currently 200-250MW in orbit: https://imgur.com/a/uhqPDX1
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