Who will develop the first model to reach 1500 ELO on LLMArena Text leaderboard?
5
1káš6122027
37%
OpenAI
5%
Anthropic
27%
Google / Deepmind
5%
Deepseek
5%
X / Grok
4%
Mistral
4%
Alibaba
5%
Meta
4%
Microsoft
5%
Resolves YES for the first company building a model that reaches 1500 on the Text Arena and NO for others.
Resolves N/A for everyone if the Text Arena is deprecated with no obvious replacement.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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