Who will develop the first model to reach 1500 ELO on LLMArena Text leaderboard?
3
1káš1922027
20%
OpenAI
13%
Anthropic
27%
Google / Deepmind
6%
Deepseek
6%
X / Grok
6%
Mistral
6%
Alibaba
6%
Meta
6%
Microsoft
6%
Resolves YES for the first company building a model that reaches 1500 on the Text Arena and NO for others.
Resolves N/A for everyone if the Text Arena is deprecated with no obvious replacement.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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