Who will develop the first model to reach 1500 ELO on LLMArena Text leaderboard?
6
1káš10012027
34%
OpenAI
8%
Anthropic
37%
Google / Deepmind
4%
Deepseek
4%
X / Grok
2%
Mistral
2%
Alibaba
3%
Meta
2%
Microsoft
4%
Resolves YES for the first company building a model that reaches 1500 on the Text Arena and NO for others.
Resolves N/A for everyone if the Text Arena is deprecated with no obvious replacement.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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