Exactly 1 options resolves yes (unless same exact release date, then split evenly)
(or similar) means anything that is in between 4.0 and 4.5 (for 4.1) or between 2.5 and 3.0 (for 2.7)
includes mini or pro versions
Will resolve if a model stays at or above 1500 for a week and has a 95% CI with a lower bound of at least 1495 at the end of that week (somewhat arbitrary criteria to ensure the score is based on a sufficient amount of votes)
Will N/A if they change the scoring significantly so that a current model passes 1500.
Source:
https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text
Default (with Style Control)
Current (6/5/25):

🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ216 | |
| 2 | Ṁ209 | |
| 3 | Ṁ134 | |
| 4 | Ṁ83 | |
| 5 | Ṁ54 |
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@ChinmayTheMathGuy
"Will resolve if a model stays at or above 1500 for a week and has a 95% CI with a lower bound of at least 1495 at the end of that week"
The lower bound is currently 1494...

@ChaosIsALadder as long as it gets more votes, the CI should tighten. I doubt this will prevent a yes resolution if it actually stays there for a week, but good to point out



