Will I be promoted to Diamond for Season 2 of the Manifold leagues?

closes Jun 1

94%

chance

ALL

This market resolves as YES if I am promoted to Diamond rank for the Manifold season beginning in June 2023. Otherwise, it resolves as NO.

As of May 28, 2023, I am at Platinum rank, and ranked #2 in my group. As long as I am ranked #5 or above by the end of the season, I will advance to Diamond rank. It looks very unlikely for me to be demoted to Gold rank this season. (Currently, I am about 2000 mana above #6, and 5600 mana above #21.)

This market resolves as N/A if Manifold cancels the league system before the end of May (which would make me very sad). Since the market's resolution criteria are not entirely within my control, I reserve the right to bet on this market; I am actively trying to get this market to resolve as YES, but that does not mean I will succeed. In June, I will provide a link to my Season 2 rank group to prove that I am either Diamond or Platinum rank, and then immediately resolve this market to YES or NO depending on which rank I am in.

Evergreen

Personal Goals

Manifold Leagues

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Savio Makbought Ṁ5 of YES

MayMeta bought Ṁ50 YES from 93% to 94%

evergreen created limit order for Ṁ50 YES at 90%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ63/Ṁ100 YES at 93% (cancelled)

evergreen bought Ṁ24 YES at 92%

Savio Mak bought Ṁ50 YES from 91% to 92%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ64/Ṁ100 YES at 91% (cancelled)

evergreen bought Ṁ100 YES from 87% to 90%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ15/Ṁ100 YES at 87% (cancelled)

evergreen bought Ṁ28 YES from 85% to 86%

evergreen bought Ṁ10 YES at 85%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ22/Ṁ100 YES at 85% (cancelled)

evergreen bought Ṁ25 YES from 83% to 84%

evergreen bought Ṁ14 YES from 82% to 83%

evergreen created limit order for Ṁ25 NO at 97%

evergreen created limit order for Ṁ25 NO at 96% (cancelled)

evergreen created limit order for Ṁ25 NO at 95% (cancelled)

evergreen created limit order for Ṁ50 YES at 75%

evergreen created limit order for Ṁ25 YES at 80%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ18/Ṁ100 YES at 82% (cancelled)

evergreen bought Ṁ25 YES from 79% to 81%

evergreen bought Ṁ9 YES at 79%

evergreen bought Ṁ4 YES from 78% to 79%

evergreen bought Ṁ3 YES at 78%

evergreen sold Ṁ4 YES at 78%

evergreen bought Ṁ5 YES at 78%

evergreen sold Ṁ39 YES from 81% to 78%

evergreen sold Ṁ16 YES from 82% to 81%

evergreen sold Ṁ12 YES at 82%

evergreen sold Ṁ9 YES from 83% to 82%

nacho bought Ṁ4 NO from 84% to 83%

Ryo bought Ṁ4 NO from 85% to 84%

evergreen bought Ṁ10 YES from 84% to 85%

evergreen bought Ṁ10 YES at 84%

evergreen bought Ṁ4 YES at 84%

evergreen bought Ṁ30 YES from 82% to 84%

Chelos bought Ṁ4 NO from 83% to 82%

evergreen bought Ṁ30 YES from 82% to 83%

evergreen bought Ṁ10 YES from 81% to 82%

evergreen bought Ṁ6 YES at 81%

evergreen sold Ṁ20 YES from 82% to 81%

MayMeta bought Ṁ10 YES from 81% to 82%

evergreen bought Ṁ10 YES at 81%

MayMeta bought Ṁ10 YES from 80% to 81%

Savio Mak bought Ṁ20 YES from 78% to 80%

evergreen bought Ṁ6 YES at 78%

evergreen sold Ṁ13 YES from 79% to 78%

MayMeta bought Ṁ20 YES from 77% to 79%

evergreen bought Ṁ5 YES at 77%

evergreen sold Ṁ7 YES at 77%

evergreen sold Ṁ7 YES from 78% to 77%

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