Are there dozens of us? Dozens?! [Read description]
40
790Ṁ14k
resolved Sep 1
Resolved
YES

This market resolves as YES if at least two dozen respondents to Pat's Manifold survey identify as women, i.e. pick "female" from the options presented in the survey's question about gender. Otherwise, this market resolves as NO.

Inspired by this comment.

Fine print

Exactly 24 women is technically enough to be dozens, so this market resolves as YES as long as at least 24 respondents pick "female" as their gender.

This market closes on September 1 and resolves as soon as the survey data is publicly available.

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Resolves YES - 31 women took the survey.

predictedYES

Yes! I knew it.

23.1% * 134 = 31
Left some mana up for y'all to grab :')

@wustep 23%! Well I'll be damned.

@chrisjbillington yep!

Will that survey even have dozens of responses?

predictedNO

@Tiffany It's had at least three dozen so far, possibly more. Since it's open for all of August, I expect it'll get a lot.

predictedNO

@evergreenemily You sure it's open?

predictedNO

@Tiffany Oh, huh. All the markets Pat made about the survey close on September 1, so I was assuming the survey would run until then as well.

predictedNO

It's open again!

@Joshua yeah mb it got closed temporarily because google photos ate up all my storage on accident

@Stralor btw it had 142 responses in total, though ofc not everyone answered everything

That's so many! I don't even think there's that many like, on earth

I want to believe!

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