Are there dozens of us? Dozens?! [Read description]
40
607
790
resolved Sep 1
Resolved
YES

This market resolves as YES if at least two dozen respondents to Pat's Manifold survey identify as women, i.e. pick "female" from the options presented in the survey's question about gender. Otherwise, this market resolves as NO.

Inspired by this comment.


Fine print

Exactly 24 women is technically enough to be dozens, so this market resolves as YES as long as at least 24 respondents pick "female" as their gender.

This market closes on September 1 and resolves as soon as the survey data is publicly available.

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Resolves YES - 31 women took the survey.

predicted YES

Yes! I knew it.

bought Ṁ777 of YES

23.1% * 134 = 31
Left some mana up for y'all to grab :')

bought Ṁ1,600 of YES

@wustep 23%! Well I'll be damned.

bought Ṁ5 of NO

Will that survey even have dozens of responses?

predicted NO

@Tiffany It's had at least three dozen so far, possibly more. Since it's open for all of August, I expect it'll get a lot.

predicted NO

@evergreenemily You sure it's open?

predicted NO

@Tiffany Oh, huh. All the markets Pat made about the survey close on September 1, so I was assuming the survey would run until then as well.

predicted NO

It's open again!

@Joshua yeah mb it got closed temporarily because google photos ate up all my storage on accident

@Stralor btw it had 142 responses in total, though ofc not everyone answered everything

bought Ṁ10 of YES
bought Ṁ5 of NO

That's so many! I don't even think there's that many like, on earth

bought Ṁ50 of YES

I want to believe!