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MANIFOLD
Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself?
80
แน€1kแน€4.7k
2029
78%
chance

Resolves YES if Trump posts another religious image of himself before the end of his presidency.

Resolves YES if the image is of a major figure: Jesus, Mohammed, the Buddha, the Messiah, etc.

Resolves YES if the image is a remix of a sacred artwork: Trump at The Last Supper, Trump as Adam in Michelangelo's Creation of Adam, etc.

Resolves NO if the image lacks grandeosity and is Christian in nature, like Trump just going to church or celebrating Thanksgiving. However, cross-religious depicitions like him meditating as a Buddhist resolve YES.

The resolution date shall extend however long Trump remains in office, including for a 3rd term, but terminate early should he leave.

There will be no AI clarifications added to this market's description. Resolution = Expiry.

Examples:

Trump's now-deleted image spurring this controversy resolves YES due to the clear depiction of Trump as Jesus:

  • He is healing someone

  • Divine light radiates from his hands

  • Angelic figures descend from the clouds

  • He is dressed like Jesus

  • The woman praying doesn't help but isn't on its own sufficient

Trump's early post as Pope resolves YES for self-explanatory reasons.

The image this morning resolves NO since it just depicts Jesus endorsing Trump's presidency, not Trump hismelf being divine.

Real photos of himself do not count. Statues do. I am the final authority on if an image qualifies, but am open to arguments. See my track record regarding bias and the decisions made above for credibility.

Market context
US Politics
Trump
AI
Religion
Social Media
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bought แน€10 NO

Greek gods like Ares or Zeus? Demigod like Heracles?

bought แน€250 YES

Before 2029? Hell yeah, he just loves the attention

However, cross-religious depicitions like him meditating as a Buddhist resolve YES.

Hang on, this bit seems like a much lower bar than the rest of the description (where he must be as a major religious figure) and the market title (where he must be deified i.e. become god)

@TheAllMemeingEye I see where you're coming from. For normal people there's a difference between depicting yourself in Buddhist meditation vs a painting of yourself as Jesus.

But in the mind of someone like Trump, these represent expressions of the same underlying psychological need for narcissistic supply. Vlad Vexler has some great YouTube videos explaining this element of Trump's psychology.

The reason the bar is higher for Christianity specifically is that he claims to be a Christian and lives in a predominantly Christian culture. Showing himself at church doesn't mean anything. He needs to be the Pope or Jesus himself to bask in the narcissist glow of his sacrilege.

By contrast for Buddhism or Islam, the bar is much lower. Him posting a picture of himself as a Sultan or monk in Buddhist meditation achieves the same effect. It communicates that he's glorified beyond religious taboos we have when depicting foreign faiths.

In any case, I made sure to cover all my bases in the description. If anyone wants to bet on this market, I suggest reading the nuances in full ๐ŸŒท

Notably to tie up any lose ends there, Trump just hanging out with Buddhists wouldn't count.

He needs to actually be engaging in their spirituality. As in, Trump the Buddhist, not Trump with the Buddhists. See the statue I posted in an earlier message for an example.

You know the spell, Mr. President ๐Ÿ”ฎ๐Ÿช„

All he has to do is post this one:

I think he's learned his lesson, but then again who knows if he'll forget in a year or two..

@PlasmaPower I think the most viable path is a remix painting, like him as Adam touching fingers with God. I doubt he depicts himself as the Dalai Lama but honestly who knows at this point ๐Ÿชป๐Ÿ™ƒ

On YES, which figure/painting do you think it'll be? ๐Ÿ‘€

@GnosticGirl sounds like yet another market idea XD

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