The question resolves YES if according to two acceptable sources listed below there has been a presidential election in Ukraine before, again according to two acceptable sources from those listed below, there is a ceasefire in force between Russia and Ukraine. If there is such a ceasefire, and there has not been an Ukrainian presidential election, resolves NO. The duration of the ceasefire is immaterial, it merely has to be reported.

Acceptable sources:

Kiyv Independent

Reuters

BBC

The Guardian

Associated Press

Sky News (UK version)

The market will be extended, until one of the events happens.

I will inject 150 mana liquidity above basic in addition to the standard 100.