Will there be a conflict in Iran after the U.S. midterm elections?”
5
Ṁ100Ṁ46Dec 31
33%
chance
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6H
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This market resolves YES if a direct military conflict involving Iran occurs after the U.S. midterm elections (November 2026) and before December 31, 2026.
Examples of YES resolution:
U.S. or Israeli military strikes on Iranian territory
Iranian military attack on U.S. forces
Full-scale war declaration
Examples of NO resolution:
Diplomatic tensions only
Sanctions
Proxy conflicts without direct involvement
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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