Will Iran have a civil war before the start of 2028?
8
1kṀ3022027
43%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There is speculation that the strikes on Iran will destabilize it and lead to a civil war. Resolves yes if before 2028 there is a wikipedia page describing an Iranian civil war, no otherwise
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?
17% chance
Will Iran experience regime change in 2025?
12% chance
Will there be a war between the US and Iran before January 2026?
8% chance
Will there be a war between Israel and Iran before January 2026?
13% chance
Will Iran’s current government be overthrown, removed, or collapse before January 2026?
17% chance
Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?
8% chance
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
42% chance