Will Iran have a civil war before the start of 2028?
5
1kṀ2002027
48%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There is speculation that the strikes on Iran will destabilize it and lead to a civil war. Resolves yes if before 2028 there is a wikipedia page describing an Iranian civil war, no otherwise
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
53% chance
Will there be a war between Israel and Iran before January 2026?
20% chance
Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?
8% chance
Will Iran experience regime change in 2025?
24% chance
Will there be a war between the US and Iran before January 2026?
13% chance
Will Iran’s current government be overthrown, removed, or collapse before January 2026?
48% chance
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
42% chance