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MANIFOLD
Will the SuperHeavy Booster (re-) fly without refurbishment by EOY 2026?
18
Ṁ1kṀ4.7k
2027
24%
chance

Judgment will be based on credible reporting. Reports solely from SpaceX or Elon will not be sufficient to count, but articles from credible news agencies citing those would be.

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Should probably be "refly" instead of "fly"