Will Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?
15
Ṁ100Ṁ3472027
34%
chance
7
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Leaving for any reason counts - resignation (effective in 2026), death, impeachment, etc.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Clarence Thomas leave Supreme Court in 2026?
9% chance
Will Alito leave next?
66% chance
Will a Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
52% chance
Will any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027?
51% chance
If Republicans lose the Senate and Alito has not left the Court, will he leave before the new senators are seated?
56% chance
[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?
49% chance
Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
Will Sonia Sotomayor still be on the Supreme Court at the end of 2026?
93% chance
Will Sotomayor leave next?
5% chance
Will Clarence Thomas retire from the Supreme Court before 2029?
56% chance