This is a market on whether Polyoptions' total trading volume in 2026 is greater than or equal to $1,000,000,000.00 (as rounded to the nearest penny), according to official trading volume as first reported for that period, or portion thereof, at https://polyoptions.com/.
Trading volume will be measured in notional value, which equals the USD payout value of the underlying Polymarket positions.
If total trading volume in 2026 is less than $1,000,000,000.00 or if no such official data is published at that site on or before January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Should Polyoptions change its name or URL, the relevant successor site will be used as the resolutions source.
Should Polyoptions merge with or be acquired by another platform prior to year-end and prior to trigerring a "Yes" resolution, such that Polyoptions' volume can not be disaggregated from that of its acquirer or merger partner, this market will resolve to “No”.
Will Polyoptions volume hit $1 billion in 2026?
32
Ṁ1kṀ5.3k2027
9%
chance
1H
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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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