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MANIFOLD
Will MNX have $1m in volume before September 2026?
85
Ṁ10kṀ150k
Aug 31
3%
chance
7

Resolves YES if MNX has $1 million or more in USD-equivalent volume in aggregate on mainnet at any time before September 1st, 2026 PT.

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there isn't even a single market with $1000 lol

bought Ṁ5,000 NO
opened a Ṁ5,000 YES at 15% order

@JasonMendoza2008 yes limit at 15% if you’re interested

@Gen still waiting for @creator to answer how we can track the volume accurately

@JasonMendoza2008 isn't the creator one of the founders of the platform? I would imagine he could get a definitive answer

@Kire_ yeah but @creator is on vacation in the bahamas and doesn't have internet :(

@JasonMendoza2008 I think the total site volume is probably under 100k atm, but it is definitely in the 10s of thousands. The overview page shows the daily(?) volume, or something, which is.. odd.

@Gen you should ask @SG to hire you over there to make it clearer it’s incomprehensible right now ahahha

How do we check that / where do we check that?

@JasonMendoza2008 i already responded below.

@SG how is this checked? or is there an update

@prismatic i will update the market. (there should be enough ppl with beta access soon to corroborate me.) current volumes are very low, as we're still slowly rolling things out...

@SG will you update the market before it closes?

@SG or before I die?

bought Ṁ1 NO🤖

The creator reported private capped-deposit mainnet markets and suggested a July-or-August launch, but research found no evidence of meaningful volume or a path to $1 million.

Does this work like a commitment encouragement market. If I bet NO will it incentivize actions that will result in a YES?

if i bet $10 at 10x leverage is that $10 volume or $100 volume?

bought Ṁ25 NO

Is this even remotely close to launching?

@SG In June, as announced?

@ChurlishGambit probably july or august now. (we actually had private mainnet markets with a capped deposits up in time for manifest)

not gonna lie, sg might be a tad overexposed