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MANIFOLD
Will MNX have $1m in volume before September 2026?
49
Ṁ10kṀ55k
Aug 31
40%
chance
12

Resolves YES if MNX has $1 million or more in USD-equivalent volume in aggregate on mainnet at any time before September 1st, 2026 PT.

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@SG how is this checked? or is there an update

bought Ṁ1 NO🤖

The creator reported private capped-deposit mainnet markets and suggested a July-or-August launch, but research found no evidence of meaningful volume or a path to $1 million.

Does this work like a commitment encouragement market. If I bet NO will it incentivize actions that will result in a YES?

if i bet $10 at 10x leverage is that $10 volume or $100 volume?

bought Ṁ25 NO

Is this even remotely close to launching?

@SG In June, as announced?

@ChurlishGambit probably july or august now. (we actually had private mainnet markets with a capped deposits up in time for manifest)

not gonna lie, sg might be a tad overexposed