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MANIFOLD
Will LLMs improve any major aspect of the Riemann hypothesis by EOY 2026?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ52
Dec 31
58%
chance

Unreleased version of Claude increased the lower bound for the fraction of zeros of the Riemann zeta function that satisfy the Riemann hypothesis from 41.6% to 67.2%.

"Major" is judged by me.

  • Update 2026-08-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The creator confirmed that the Claude improvement (increasing the lower bound of zeros from 41.6% to 67.2%) is considered a "major" improvement.

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Do you count this current improvement as “major”?

@prismatic then what is this market about exactly?

@0xseraphim like any new improvement

@prismatic not saying he’s wrong, but I’d rather hear that from somebody who doesn’t have “investor in Anthropic” in bio

@JaundicedBaboon Happy to say that the evaluation of this current result as "major" is wrong

we're not the elites. we're the epistemic rat people, running through the tunnels of the internet, thinking about the future