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MANIFOLD
Will gas hit ___ by end of March?
37
Ṁ775Ṁ7.6k
resolved Mar 31
Resolved
YES
Above $4.00
Resolved
YES
Above $3.75
Resolved
YES
Above $3.50
Resolved
NO
Above $4.25
Resolved
NO
Above $4.50
Resolved
NO
Above $4.75
Resolved
NO
Above $5

Same criteria as https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".

Market context
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bought Ṁ524 YES

Today’s AAA
National Average

$4.018

Price as of
3/31/26

Added 500M liquidity

bought Ṁ165 YES

Current Avg.$3.79 on AAA so 3.75 can resolve

Current Avg.$3.539 on AAA so 3.50 can resolve