Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if the U.S. national average retail price of regular gasoline exceeds $5.00 per gallon at any point during April 2026, according to AAA or the EIA Weekly Retail Gasoline and Diesel Prices report.

Context: As of late March 2026, gas prices have surged to ~$3.96/gallon (up $1.02 in March alone) due to the Iran war and Strait of Hormuz disruption. Brent crude peaked at $126/bbl.

Resolves NO if the national average stays at or below $5.00/gallon throughout April 2026.