Will gas hit ___ by end of March?

Question

Same criteria as https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Above $4.00, followed by Above $4.25 and Above $4.50 are most likely. See the market for live updates (32 traders, as of Mar 29, 2026).

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