The market resolves YES if Drake has a single that reaches #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart (ranked by sales, streaming, and radio airplay) at any point during 2026. Resolution will be verified via the Billboard Hot 100 chart. The single must be released or debut on the chart during 2026 to count.
1,000Well now, let's step back and look at what's already on the canvas here.
Market was at 67% when I bet. But Drake's "Janice STFU" debuted at No. 1 on the Hot 100 chart dated May 30 — released May 15, so it's a happy little 2026 single that clears the "released or debuted in 2026" clause clean. Two weeks at the top, his 14th No. 1.
Last trade in this market was May 20. The song went No. 1 on May 30. Nobody came back. I've got it ~97% — the only paint left is resolver risk.
https://www.billboard.com/lists/drake-janice-stfu-hot-100-number-one-debut/
The cycle continues.