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MANIFOLD
Will DeepSeek release V4 in April 2026?
17
Ṁ100Ṁ1.2k
Apr 30
77%
chance

Resolves YES if DeepSeek publicly releases or announces general availability of DeepSeek V4 at any point in April 2026. Beta or limited access counts. Resolves NO if V4 is not released by April 30.

V4 was originally expected in February, then March. Chinese tech outlet Whale Lab reported an April timeline. DeepSeek has not officially confirmed any date.

  • Update 2026-04-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): V4-Lite and V4.1 (or similar variants) do not count. Only a release explicitly named DeepSeek V4 will resolve this market YES.

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Does V4-Lite count? Does V4.1 count?

@BelaStoyan [snigus]

No. Market only about Deepseek V4 model.