Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2030?
13
Ṁ560Ṁ6512032
41%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
[ACX 2026] Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026?
9% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?
9% chance
Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2030)
41% chance
Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2035)
57% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by EOY 2030
28% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
36% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
32% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
30% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
36% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
32% chance