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MANIFOLD
Will any AI consistently get a perfect score on Maxim Lott's offline IQ test by the end of 2027?
42
Ṁ1kṀ4.2k
2028
94%
chance

https://www.maximumtruth.org/p/deep-dive-ai-progress-continues-as

Vision mode. Must get a perfect score on 3 consecutive tests, as displayed by the website. (Open to tweaking if the website changes its display or testing procedure.)

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bought Ṁ196 YES

@IsaacKing Resolves YES

https://trackingai.org/test.html?iq-test=offline&iq-vision=1&iq-ai=%5B%22Claude-5-Opus-Max-Vision%22%2C%22Offline+Test%22%2C%22Claude-5-Opus-Max-Vision%22%5D#iq-test-chart

Claude-5.5 Opus MAX (Vision)

PROVision

(claude-opus-5.5, MAX thinking, with vision/image read)

IQ Score135

Averaged Over:

October 18, 2026 (IQ: 136)

October 11, 2026 (IQ: 136)

October 4, 2026 (IQ: 136)

September 28, 2026 (IQ: 136)

September 21, 2026 (IQ: 130)

Avg. Time / Response38.7 s

Cost / Response$0.0079

Raw Score (% correct): 16 out of 16 (100%)

Test: Offline Test

By the way @MaximLott are you concerned about the offline test making it into training data from your conversations? Most companies are presumably using those as training data for their next models.

In your case this might not be that big a deal since you're not providing correct answers I suppose.

@IsaacKing Yes -- I think it should be fine, since I'm not giving the AIs any correct answers.

bought Ṁ20 NO

Definitely not 63 % chance. I expect the plateau in 'talent' to continue for a little while longer

@Lilemont Throw tomatoes at me